Every week, I publish a full breakdown of my portfolio - what I own, current prices vs. targets, and where I see the biggest upside.
No black boxes. Every position is real, verified through Interactive Brokers.
The Track Record
TomALPHA vs S&P 500 since April 2021
Performance Snapshot
+442% since April 2021 vs SPY's +68%
YTD 2025: +79.64%
3-Year: +278% vs SPY's +75%
1-Year: +84.85% vs SPY's +12.36%
16 positions. 100% transparent. Every trade verified through Interactive Brokers.
Current Portfolio Structure
Fintech (32% of portfolio)
Ticker | Name | Weight | Avg Price | Current | Target | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$PYPL | PayPal | 10% | $67.40 | $61.66 | $100 | +62% |
$EEFT | Euronet Worldwide | 9% | $85.87 | $78.51 | $165 | +110% |
$NU | Nu Holdings | 8% | $15.00 | $16.90 | $22 | +30% |
$KSPI | 5% | $78.35 | $76.67 | $133 | +73% |
European Value (31% of portfolio)
Ticker | Name | Weight | Avg Price | Current | Target | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$WIZZ | Wizz Air | 8% | £1,180 | £1,195 | £1,890 | +58% |
$ZAL | Zalando | 8% | €24.10 | €23.07 | €34 | +47% |
$TUI | TUI AG | 6% | €7.70 | €8.19 | €13 | +59% |
$EVO | Evolution AB | 6% | SEK 750 | SEK 629 | SEK 995 | +58% |
$BOSS | Hugo Boss | 3% | €39.99 | €36.50 | €48 | +32% |
China & Emerging Markets (17% of portfolio)
Ticker | Name | Weight | Avg Price | Current | Target | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$BABA | Alibaba | 7% | $157.60 | $157.86 | $215 | +36% |
$JD | 5% | $32.30 | $29.44 | $46 | +56% | |
$BYD | BYD Company | 5% | HK$121.70 | HK$98.50 | HK$165 | +68% |
Tech (18% of portfolio)
Ticker | Name | Weight | Avg Price | Current | Target | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$WIX | 7% | $94.56 | $101.87 | $170 | +67% | |
$NICE | NICE Ltd | 6% | $134.50 | $109.24 | $195 | +79% |
$S | SentinelOne | 5% | $18.00 | $15.08 | $28 | +86% |
Other (4% of portfolio)
Ticker | Name | Weight | Avg Price | Current | Target | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
$BAYN | Bayer AG | 4% | €27.74 | €36.37 | €33 | -9% |
Portfolio Upside Summary
Weighted average upside to target prices: ~58%
Highest conviction (by upside):
$EEFT Euronet: +110% upside → ATM network expansion + EPS compounding
$S SentinelOne: +86% upside → Cybersecurity consolidation play
$NICE: +79% upside → AI contact center dominance
$KSPI Kaspi: +73% upside → Kazakhstan super-app, 50%+ ROE
$BYD: +68% upside → EV + battery vertical integration
Position sizing notes:
Fintech = largest sector bet (32%) - secular digitization of payments
Europe undervalued vs US (13x vs 22x earnings) - same global economy, half the price
China/EM = contrarian, requires patience
Bayer at target - holding for litigation resolution optionality
What I'm Watching
$PYPL: AI commerce partnerships, Venmo monetization
$WIZZ: GTF engine crisis resolution (25-30 grounded aircraft expected to normalize)
$TUI: Cruise pricing power, Boeing deliveries FY26
$NU: Mexico expansion, credit quality through cycle
$BYD: European market entry, margin sustainability
Full valuation models and price target methodology available on the portal. Every position backed by DCF, comps, and scenario analysis.
Next update: December 22, 2025