Deep dives

Asymmetric opportunity hunting. Fundamental models and valuation gaps decoded for serious capital deployment.

Deep dives

PAYPAL ($PYPL): THE HARD RESET. WHY I AM BUYING THE -20% DROP.

Feb 4, 2026

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2 min read

PAYPAL ($PYPL): THE HARD RESET. WHY I AM BUYING THE -20% DROP.

The market hated the "Transition Year" guidance. The stock crashed. But at ~8x Earnings with a $6B buyback, the downside is mathematically capped.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

WIZZ AIR ($WIZZ): INVESTMENT THESIS UPDATE & Q3 FY26 REVIEW

Jan 30, 2026

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2 min read

WIZZ AIR ($WIZZ): INVESTMENT THESIS UPDATE & Q3 FY26 REVIEW

The Q3 data confirms the turnaround is executing. The operational floor is set. Here is why I remain fully allocated (5% position) targeting the £29.00 re-rating.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

Jan 27, 2026

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2 min read

TUI AG ($TUI1): BUY THE HOTEL EMPIRE, GET THE AIRLINE FOR FREE

The market sees a distressed airline. The data shows a cash-rich Hotel & Cruise monopoly trading at distressed valuations.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

GRAB: THE "UBER OF ASIA" ARBITRAGE (INSTITUTIONAL NOTE)

Jan 22, 2026

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2 min read

GRAB: THE "UBER OF ASIA" ARBITRAGE (INSTITUTIONAL NOTE)

Wall Street sees a cash incinerator. We see a $5.3BN cash fortress and a profit engine ready to print. Here is the math behind the +46% upside.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

ZALANDO DEEP-DIVE: THE +35% UPSIDE LOGISTICS UTILITY TRADE

Jan 16, 2026

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2 min read

ZALANDO DEEP-DIVE: THE +35% UPSIDE LOGISTICS UTILITY TRADE

The "AWS of Fashion" thesis is live. Q3 2025 data confirms structural arbitrage: B2B margins nearly doubled while the market wasn't looking.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

Asymmetric Bet: Why $157 is the Floor for Alibaba

Jan 12, 2026

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2 min read

Asymmetric Bet: Why $157 is the Floor for Alibaba

Forget "Value Trap." This is China's AWS in disguise. Download the full institutional deep-dive.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

Why Wall St is valuing "S" at $15, but our math says $24.

Jan 8, 2026

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2 min read

Why Wall St is valuing "S" at $15, but our math says $24.

The market sees a decelerating endpoint vendor. We see a profitable AI platform trading at a 67% discount.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

Jan 7, 2026

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2 min read

PayPal (PYPL): Why the Market is Ignoring 69% Upside

Wall Street sees a dying bank. The math reveals a tech giant waking up.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

Micron (MU): The Market Sees a Cycle Peak. I See a Path to $475.

Dec 18, 2025

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2 min read

Micron (MU): The Market Sees a Cycle Peak. I See a Path to $475.

Why Wall Street is mispricing the AI infrastructure trade and the structural case for an 85% upside.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

Palantir (PLTR) Deep Dive: Price Target & Outlook 2026

Dec 15, 2025

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10 min read

Palantir (PLTR) Deep Dive: Price Target & Outlook 2026

114% Rule of 40, 63% revenue growth, $6.4B cash — but is PLTR the best business you shouldn't buy?

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

NVIDIA Deep Dive: The Valuation Case for 2026

Dec 11, 2025

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20 min read

NVIDIA Deep Dive: The Valuation Case for 2026

A comprehensive equity research analysis of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock with fair price valuation. Examining the AI infrastructure thesis, CUDA competitive moat, $567B market opportunity, and detailed valuation for 2026.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

NICE Stock Deep Dive: The Market is Wrong (12x vs 48x Valuation)

Dec 8, 2025

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2 min read

NICE Stock Deep Dive: The Market is Wrong (12x vs 48x Valuation)

A comprehensive equity research analysis breaking down the 75% discount, AI moat, and my $185 price target.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

REPORT: WIX ($96) → Target $170. The Math the Market Misses.

Dec 4, 2025

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2 min read

REPORT: WIX ($96) → Target $170. The Math the Market Misses.

Undervalued Transformation. 9.0x EV/FCF vs. Peer Median 14.2x. Upside +76.5%.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

My Highest Conviction Trade: Why $NU Is 10% of My Portfolio

Nov 24, 2025

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2 min read

My Highest Conviction Trade: Why $NU Is 10% of My Portfolio

Why Wall Street is mispricing a tech monopoly as a legacy bank. Download the full valuation model.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

[DEEP-DIVE] WIZZ: +26% profit with 20% fewer planes

Nov 18, 2025

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4 min read

[DEEP-DIVE] WIZZ: +26% profit with 20% fewer planes

Wall Street missed it. €360M recovery priced at zero. £10.68 → £18 (68% upside, 12-18mo)

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

BYD Analysis: +64% Upside on China's EV Leader

Nov 13, 2025

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3 min read

BYD Analysis: +64% Upside on China's EV Leader

Q3 was a trough, not a trend. Margins recovering, valuation absurd.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

Nov 7, 2025

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3 min read

AMD: The AI Challenger

OpenAI's $100B Bet Validates AMD as Credible NVIDIA Alternative

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

Uber: Hidden Gem at the Inflection Point

Nov 6, 2025

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4 min read

Uber: Hidden Gem at the Inflection Point

Why UBER is one of the best investment opportunities of 2025 – deep dive analysis shows 21% upside potential

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

PayPal: Wall Street Says "Pass". I See 56% Upside.

Nov 3, 2025

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4 min read

PayPal: Wall Street Says "Pass". I See 56% Upside.

Deep-dive analysis reveals why the market's skepticism is creating a compelling value opportunity.

Tom Alpha Trades

Deep dives

PAYPAL ($PYPL): THE HARD RESET. WHY I AM BUYING THE -20% DROP.

WIZZ AIR ($WIZZ): INVESTMENT THESIS UPDATE & Q3 FY26 REVIEW

TUI AG ($TUI1): BUY THE HOTEL EMPIRE, GET THE AIRLINE FOR FREE

GRAB: THE "UBER OF ASIA" ARBITRAGE (INSTITUTIONAL NOTE)

ZALANDO DEEP-DIVE: THE +35% UPSIDE LOGISTICS UTILITY TRADE

Asymmetric Bet: Why $157 is the Floor for Alibaba

Why Wall St is valuing "S" at $15, but our math says $24.

PayPal (PYPL): Why the Market is Ignoring 69% Upside

Micron (MU): The Market Sees a Cycle Peak. I See a Path to $475.

Palantir (PLTR) Deep Dive: Price Target & Outlook 2026

NVIDIA Deep Dive: The Valuation Case for 2026

NICE Stock Deep Dive: The Market is Wrong (12x vs 48x Valuation)

REPORT: WIX ($96) → Target $170. The Math the Market Misses.

My Highest Conviction Trade: Why $NU Is 10% of My Portfolio

[DEEP-DIVE] WIZZ: +26% profit with 20% fewer planes

BYD Analysis: +64% Upside on China's EV Leader

AMD: The AI Challenger

Uber: Hidden Gem at the Inflection Point

PayPal: Wall Street Says "Pass". I See 56% Upside.

TomALPHA Trades